Temperance gambling and reforms, the start of the overtime whistle

A moment ago, the second round of the presidential election in the Islamic Republic of Iran began with the start of voting in New Zealand.

In previous notes, I referenced the influence of moderates and reformists, the two former presidents, and Sheikh Mahdi Karroubi on one side, and the so-called revolution front, the established government, and the family of Ebrahim Raisi on the other.

Now, I want to state a bit more clearly:

Today, either Dr. Masoud will not be elected as the chosen president as a visible phenomenon, and this group and individuals will become the biggest losers and victims of the overarching policies of the system and its intelligence planning apparatus. If they accept the election results, the system may show some leniency towards those who present themselves as adhering to the rules of the Islamic Republic and operate under the absolute rule of the jurist, easing some of the written and unwritten restrictions on them.

Or, Dr. Masoud will be elected, and as the chosen president, after the issuance of his credentials and confirmation by Ayatollah Khamenei, he will distance himself from the reformists and some moderates, just as he has repeatedly distanced himself from them during this election campaign.

This will be the case, except for a few ministers and officials with minimal ties to reformism and who do not have definitive or pending criminal cases in public, revolutionary, or military courts, especially in the special court for clergy, and who have maintained some form of connection with the leader's office over the years.

Conclusion:

In either scenario, reformism and a bit of moderation are the losers of the grand political map endorsed by the leader of the Islamic Republic.

Now, if Dr. Saeed is the outcome of today’s election, as I mentioned in my first note, he would be the first option for the leader, ahead of the fourth option, which is the visible phenomenon:

The Islamic Republic will move more rapidly towards radicalization, even though there are opponents of Dr. Saeed within the intelligence, security, and military apparatuses, and very powerful forces are present to contain his plans within influential government bodies. However, if Ayatollah Khamenei does not bring him and his more revolutionary government under control from the outset using the many tools at his disposal, it will be a major catastrophe for the leader of the Islamic Republic, and he will realize that he has made a mistake in this plan, similar to other cases that need not be elaborated upon.

In the event of such a lack of control, who will suffer? The people.

This is the law and the rules of the power game, and I have tried in various forms of notes and inquiries to elucidate and analyze the informational and security thought process in the broader project of the system.

Yes, those who are asleep or pretending to be asleep will have no choice but to face the tide of truth.

Read my other note titled 'Who should be candidates or not, who should be approved or not, who should withdraw or not, who should get votes or not, all of them desired the same outcome.'

Let it remain as a keepsake.

Abdollah Abdi