Ali Akbar Salehi's View on Trump's Scenarios for the World: "Preserving the Ukraine issue as a thorn in the side."

Creating a Tangled Web in the Palestinian Issue and Attempting to Take the Initiative
Agreement with Iran Considering 10 Strengths / Iran Should View the Current Timing as a Historic Turning Point

Dr. Ali Akbar Salehi, Vice President of the Academy of Sciences of the Islamic Republic of Iran, former Minister of Foreign Affairs, and former Head of the Atomic Energy Organization of Iran, wrote:

Trump potentially has several scenarios in mind:

Preserving the Ukraine Issue as a Thorn in the Side: This aims to create simultaneous pressure on both Russia and Europe, each for different reasons as outlined in the earlier sections.

Policy of Ambiguity in the Palestinian Issue: Creating a tangled web in the region and causing a deadlock for all players, followed by an attempt to seize the initiative.

Trump’s Consideration of Potential Strengths in an Agreement with Iran: Given the strategic geopolitical position of the Islamic Republic of Iran internationally and its role in the region, Trump will likely seek to establish an understanding with Iran, taking into account the following potential strengths:

a. Iran is an important neighbor of Russia, as seen during World War II.

b. Iran possesses significant energy resources such as oil and gas, which could play a crucial role in international emergencies.

c. With reliance on domestic capabilities, Iran can play an important role in ensuring regional stability and security.

d. Unlike some other countries, Iran has a set of consistent policies that make its behavior on the international stage predictable.

e. Iran's civilizational domain shares common linguistic, ethnic, religious, civilizational, and ultimately historical ties with many nearby and distant neighbors. If leveraged intelligently, this can serve as a significant link.

f. Iran has direct access to a consumer market of over 500 to 600 million people, stretching from Central Asia to Europe and from Russia to the Gulf region. It could, therefore, be viewed as a prime location for international investment with high returns.

g. Iran has the highest number of engineers and skilled workers in the region.

h. Iran possesses relatively good infrastructure as well as significant energy and mineral resources.

i. Iran has a rich historical legacy and is one of the most unique nations that has endured through time.

j. Iran has demonstrated throughout history that it has been a leader in both governance and scientific advancement on a global scale.

Given these considerations, the U.S. is unlikely to take major risks, as such actions would have a high probability of failure and would severely damage its global standing. In this context, Iran must carefully consider all possible scenarios and view the current situation as a historic turning point.

Moreover, it is important to note that the statements of the Supreme Leader always address two audiences: one internal, where his words carry a message of "reminder," and one external, where his words serve as "warning and admonition." Certainly, our foreign policy friends are aware of this subtle distinction.

Source: Jamaran